التنبؤ بالفشل المالي في البنوك اليمنية باستخدام نموذج شيرورد Sherrord vأ.د.عبدالله علي القرشي*

Abstract

Abstract:

     This study aimed to use the Sherrord model to predict financial failure by applying to Yemeni banks during the period of time (2013-2018). The study population included all Yemeni banks, while the study sample was concentrated in all Yemeni government banks. The study found results, the most important of which is that the Sherward model can be used to predict financial failure in Yemeni banks, as it was found that both the Cooperative and Agricultural Credit Bank and the National Bank of Yemen are exposed to risks of financial failure, while it became clear that the Yemeni Bank for Reconstruction and Development is difficult to predict the risks of financial failure. , The value of (Z) to predict financial failure is consistent with the results of the analysis of indicators and the liquidity and profitability ratios of the study sample banks.

The study recommended government banks to use the current study model to predict financial failure, early detection of default cases, decision-making and corrective measures with activation of the role of risk departments, the necessity of conducting more studies to predict financial failure using other models, provided that it includes all Yemeni banks. The Yemeni governmental banks in particular and the Yemeni banks in general should remedy their current situation and implement rapid remedies to reduce the effects of the political and economic crisis on the performance of these banks.

Key words: Predicting - Financial Failure -  Sherrord Model - Yemeni Governmental Banks.